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THOR INDUSTRIES INC (THO)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2025 was a clear beat: revenue $2.89B (+3.3% YoY) and diluted EPS $2.53 (+18.8% YoY) exceeded Wall Street consensus; gross margin improved 20 bps to 15.3% . Consensus had expected $2.61B revenue and $1.80 EPS; actuals were stronger, driving the headline beat on both metrics (values retrieved from S&P Global).*
  • North American Towables led strength: net sales +9.1% YoY, gross margin +200 bps to 14.9%, and IBIT +42.7% YoY on mix shift toward fifth wheels and lower discounting .
  • Motorized showed volume growth but margin pressure; Europe remained softer on volumes and higher promotions, though pricing/mix supported resilient margins .
  • Guidance reaffirmed at Q3: FY2025 net sales $9.0–$9.5B, gross margin 13.8–14.5%, EPS $3.30–$4.00; management expects a challenging Q4 FY2025 and Q1 FY2026 given macro/tariff uncertainty .
  • Capital actions provide catalysts: $0.50 quarterly dividend declared (payable July 15) and $400M share repurchase re-authorization; buybacks resumed post window reopening (340K shares since June 6) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • North American Towables mix and margins: 200 bps margin expansion to 14.9% on reduced discounting, warranty improvements, and cost initiatives; fifth-wheel mix uplift drove unit price +3.6% .
  • Strong cash generation and liquidity: Q3 operating cash flow $257.7M; liquidity ~$1.49B with $508.3M cash and $985.0M revolver availability .
  • Strategic execution and cost actions: “Our third quarter results exceeded our expectations… further emphasis on driving down our cost profile, led to improved margins” — Bob Martin, CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Motorized margin compression: gross margin fell 60 bps to 10.5% on higher discounting and mix shift to lower-priced units despite 10.9% shipment growth .
  • European segment softness: net sales -5.1% YoY; unit shipments -12.2%; gross margin -130 bps due to increased discounting; IBIT -40.2% YoY .
  • Backlog declines reflect cautious ordering: European backlog -30.6% YoY and Towables backlog -14.4% YoY as dealers remain cautious ahead of model-year change and macro/tariff developments .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 FY2024Q1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.801 $2.143 $2.018 $2.895
Diluted EPS ($USD)$2.13 $(0.03) $(0.01) $2.53
Gross Profit Margin (%)15.1% 13.1% 12.1% 15.3%
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$232.3 $81.7 $76.3 $233.0
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$236.1 $107.8 $87.0 $254.8
Net Income Attributable ($USD Millions)$114.5 $(1.8) $(0.6) $135.2

Segment Breakdown – Q3 FY2025 vs Q3 FY2024

SegmentNet Sales ($USD Millions)Unit ShipmentsGross Margin (%)Income Before Income Taxes ($USD Millions)
North American Towable$1,168.9 vs $1,071.4 36,077 vs 34,193 14.9% vs 12.9% $97.6 vs $68.4
North American Motorized$666.7 vs $646.9 5,507 vs 4,964 10.5% vs 11.1% $32.9 vs $33.2
European$883.5 vs $931.1 13,495 vs 15,363 16.2% vs 17.5% $46.3 vs $77.4

Key KPIs

KPIQ3 FY2024Q3 FY2025
Backlog – North American Towable ($USD Millions)$741.3 $634.3
Backlog – North American Motorized ($USD Millions)$925.8 $883.7
Backlog – European ($USD Millions)$1,935.1 $1,343.6
North America Dealer Inventory (units)87,900 91,800
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$251.7 $257.7
Liquidity ($USD Billions)n/a~$1.49; Cash $508.3M; ABL availability $985.0M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Consolidated Net SalesFY2025$9.0–$9.8B (Q1 initial) $9.0–$9.5B (Q2 revised; Q3 reaffirmed) Narrowed
Consolidated Gross Profit MarginFY202514.7%–15.2% (Q1 initial) 13.8%–14.5% (Q2 revised; Q3 reaffirmed) Lowered
Diluted EPSFY2025$4.00–$5.00 (Q1 initial) $3.30–$4.00 (Q2 revised; Q3 reaffirmed) Lowered
DividendQuarterly$0.50 declared Oct 2024 (prior) $0.50 declared Jun 18, 2025; payable Jul 15 Maintained
Share Repurchase AuthorizationThrough Jul 2027Prior program expiring Jul 31, 2025 Re-authorized up to $400M; 340K shares repurchased since window opened Jun 6 Raised/Reauthorized

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Dealer sentiment & consumer confidenceCautious, watching rate cuts; expect stronger back half; inventory discipline (Q1/Q2) Still cautious; slight May uptick in consumer confidence; expect challenging Q4 FY2025 & Q1 FY2026 Mixed; caution persists
RVIA wholesale outlookQ2 RVIA forecast 333–367K units; THOR aligned to lower end RVIA “most likely” ~337K; THOR aligned lower-to-most likely Slightly downshifted
Tariffs & macroMonitoring new tariff policies; domestic sourcing to mitigate; manageable ASP impact (Q2) Shared-responsibility mitigation among suppliers/OEM/dealers; manageable ASP impact at current rates Continued risk, mitigations in place
Affordability & pricingTowable ASP down 11.1% YTD; mix to lower-cost trailers (Q2) Actions on BOM, mix, discounting; Towable ASP down 5.6% YTD; Motorized ASP down 1.6% YTD Ongoing focus
ACT regulation & ZEV/NZEVMinimal impact expected; hybrid Class A plan on Harbinger chassis (Q1/Q2) Continued preparations; credits strategy via Harbinger (NZEV) Stable execution
Parts strategy & serviceBuilding RV Partfinder; expand parts distribution (Q1/Q2) Broader rollout planned at Open House Sep 2025; cycle-time reduction goal Advancing initiatives
Europe retail & mixResilient demand but mainstream suppressed; ECB cuts to help (Q2) Registrations down 9.8% in Mar Qtr; expect rate cuts to aid channel throughput; ASP +10.8% FYTD Softer volumes; pricing resilient

Management Commentary

  • “Our third quarter results exceeded our expectations on both the top and bottom lines… placing further emphasis on driving down our cost profile led to improved margins.” — Bob Martin, CEO .
  • “Consolidated gross margin improved to 15.3%… North American Towable generated a 200 bps improvement.” — Todd Woelfer, COO .
  • “Liquidity of approximately $1.49 billion… generated cash from operations of approximately $257.7 million… improved operating cash flow by over $100 million YoY.” — Colleen Zuhl, CFO .
  • “We expect the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 and the first quarter of fiscal 2026 to be challenging.” — Bob Martin, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Sentiment and outlook: Dealers remain prudently cautious; confidence ticked up in May; THOR expects challenging near-term quarters and aligns to RVIA’s ~337K most-likely scenario .
  • Affordability actions: Managing BOM, recontenting, mix optimization; Towable ASP -5.6% FYTD and Motorized ASP -1.6% FYTD to meet consumer price points .
  • Backlog/Inventory: NA Towable backlog -14.4% YoY; NA Motorized -4.5%; Europe -30.6%; NA dealer inventory ~91.8K units, viewed as healthy; Europe ~23K units .
  • SG&A outlook: Q3 SG&A +$11.8M YoY (commissions/incentives, restructuring); FY2025 SG&A expected ~9.5% of net sales; longer-term ~8% post restructuring .
  • Capital allocation: $85.1M capex FYTD; $139.2M debt reduction FYTD; incremental $55M term loan paydown post Q3; repurchases reauthorized and resumed .

Estimates Context

MetricConsensus (Q3 FY2025)*Actual (Q3 FY2025)Beat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.614$2.895 Beat
Primary EPS ($USD)$1.80$2.53 Beat

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: Magnitude of top- and bottom-line beat, plus Towables margin expansion, supports upward bias to near-term EPS models; management’s Q4/Q1 caution and persistent Motorized/Europe margin pressures temper full-year upward revisions .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Towables strength is durable: mix shift to fifth wheels and lower discounting are expanding margins; prioritize exposure to brands with favorable mix .
  • Motorized remains promotional: expect margin recovery to lag until financing costs moderate and mix improves; avoid extrapolating volume gains without margin improvement .
  • Europe is volume-constrained but pricing resilient: watch discounting intensity and ECB rate path; ASP gains cushion margins amid lower shipments .
  • Cash generation and balance sheet provide flexibility: $257.7M Q3 OCF and ~$1.49B liquidity support buybacks and selective investments; monitor cadence of repurchases under $400M authorization .
  • Guidance reaffirmation reduces downside tail risk: ranges incorporate margin pressure; upside hinges on consumer confidence and tariff resolution .
  • Near-term setup: Q4 FY2025/Q1 FY2026 likely tougher; catalysts include continued Towables margin resilience, any tariff clarity, and incremental buyback activity .
  • Watch KPIs: backlog trend (especially Europe), dealer inventory levels, and SG&A progress toward ~8% longer-term target .

Additional Q3-Relevant Releases

  • Regular quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share, payable July 15, 2025 .
  • Share repurchase re-authorization up to $400M; >340K shares repurchased since window reopened .